Consumers continue to prioritize protein in their diets, and as a result, demand for protein-rich foods is expected to continue rising in 2025. Data from Innova Market Insights suggest that the growing interest in plant-based protein sources and expanding awareness of protein’s importance for health and wellness are fueling the demand. This continuing trend has manufacturers seeking novel ingredients and pathways to provide protein to satisfy the demand.

While plant protein in the form of meat analogs were taking a beating a few years ago, the market seems to be settling. Beyond Meat, Inc., one of the major players in the meat analog industry provided an example of the hopeful trend in its October 2024 “Third Quarter 2024 Financial Highlights.”

• Net revenues were $81.0 million, an increase of 7.6% year-over-year.
• Gross profit was $14.3 million, or gross margin of 17.7%, compared to a loss of $7.3 million, or gross margin of -9.6%, in the year-ago period.
• Loss from operations was $30.9 million, or operating margin of -38.1%, compared to loss from operations of $69.6 million, or operating margin of -92.4%, in the year-ago period.
• Net loss was $26.6 million, or $0.41 per common share, compared to net loss of $70.5 million, or $1.09 per common share, in the year-ago period.
• Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $19.8 million, or -24.4% of net revenues, compared to an Adjusted EBITDA loss of $57.5 million, or -76.3% of net revenues, in the year-ago period.

As quality continues to improve and prices eke down, meat analogs as a center-of-plate choice for plant protein at the consumer table should continue to grow.

Purely Plant-Based

It’s been a rough couple of years for plant-based meat and seafood alternatives as the market evolves. And after several years of a new plant-derived protein coming out seemingly every month, such efforts seem to be slowing down as ingredient makers shift to improving product flavor and texture.

Additionally, CPG companies are focusing on cleaner label products with fewer ingredients, further raising the bar. According to Bill Aimutis, PhD, co-director and COO of the Bezos Center for Sustainable Protein at North Carolina State University, the market should not expect to see many novel plant-based proteins enter commercialization over the next couple of years.

Aimutis believes supply chain improvements are the emerging focus for many of the novel plant-based and hybrid proteins already on the market. Agricultural research looking at genomic traits of heirloom and wild strains of specific plants (e.g., soy, chickpea, canola, and others) continues to identify more robust and better-tasting varieties.

David Block, PhD, director of the Integrative Center for Alternative Meat and Protein (iCAMP) at the University of California, Davis, provides an additional perspective. He notes that plant-based meat alternatives still have flavor and texture challenges that are the main factor that has kept mainstream consumers from fully embracing them, in spite of continuing efforts. “If [the processors] are trying to mimic conventional meat, and the cost is still higher than conventional meat… I think for someone who’s not compelled to have a plant-based diet for whatever reason, having a product that’s maybe not as good as the conventional product but is more expensive is problematic.” It’s well known that cost-for-value is a primary factor driving consumer acceptance.

Precision fermentation for dairy proteins has overcome many hurdles. For an inside view, check out “Brave New World: Fermentation-Based Protein, an interview with Paul Kollesoff, co-founder of The Urgent Co., makers of Brave Robot animal-free ice cream” here.

from “Protein Puzzle: Analyzing Ingredients and Top Food Categories – Animal Protein vs Plant Protein in the US,” by Innova Market Insights

Protein is Highly Desired by Consumers. Protein captures the interest of consumers surveyed globally by Innova Market Insights. One in six of those surveyed had changed to a high-protein diet in the past year. Also, more than 80% are interested in having protein in the foods and beverages they consume.

In most categories, more than one-third of US adults consume both animal-based and plant-based foods and beverages. Animal protein foods continue to be highly popular—more than 60% of adults say they consume only animal protein foods. When consumers were asked by Innova about protein powders, one quarter of users of protein powder consume only plant-based protein powder.

Innova asked consumers about whether they have enough choices in the plant protein market. A noticeable proportion—one-quarter—say that the plant-based milk market and plant-based meat substitutes market need to offer more choices. Consumers gave two reasons for desiring plant-based meat alternatives and plant-based dairy alternatives: additional plant-based protein in their diet, and digestive/gut health. And, at least half of US consumers say that they are willing or somewhat willing to buy plant-based meat alternatives that are made with plant-based protein from potato, beans, almonds, and corn.

Another important consideration in the burgeoning technology of precision fermentation will be increased concentration of desired protein end products. “Limited synthesis levels will not adequately address the issue of cost parity,” adds Aimutis. “Perhaps a larger issue is informing consumers why they need proteins from this particular manufacturing method. The average consumer understands the necessity for insulin produced using precision fermentation, but few will understand why alpha-lactalbumin, beta-lactoglobulin, or egg albumin is needed in their diet.” For market success in the coming years, Aimutis believes that “consumer education will be imperative.”

As to other challenges coming in the immediate future, Aimutis points to issues with post-translational modification. “The attachment of phosphorus or carbohydrate compounds to proteins after they are assembled in the cell is essential for both physical and physiological functionalities with some proteins.

While there has been progress in this area, it is still rather limited. The scientific community still has to address if these proteins are nutritionally bioavailable and safe for consumption at levels higher than typically seen in our diet. Most likely, these questions will be answered in a positive manner, but the research needs to be conducted.”

Mycoproteins cultivated for mycelial protein-based meat analogs are produced through precision fermentation. It’s possible to grow a lot of biomass in such a microbial system. In the case of mycoproteins, rather than inducing the cells to produce a specific protein, the goal is simply to get as many cells as possible. While mycoprotein has been around for decades, the coming year should see advances in the technology. Companies are already coming up with newer processes, new strains of fungi, and new feedstocks for the growth media. A bonus is that even with just the discovery and development of inexpensive feedstocks, it will be likely that processing through existing technology can still be employed with reasonable confidence that it will work.

The Foodservice Angle

Over the past few years, foodservice has proven to be a safe space for novel protein makers to “test the waters” with consumers in formats from plant-based meat alternatives to cell-cultured meats. Diners feel comfortable trying new foods in restaurants they like and trust. Here is a preview of what diners are expecting to see on menus in 2025 when it comes to protein by Maeve Webster, president of Menu Matters, LLC. (Menu Matters is a company providing menu strategy, product concept development, opportunity assessment, trend prioritization, and other services to the foodservice industry.)

“Consumers continue to place an emphasis on protein as a key healthful ingredient,” Webster reports. “As a result, they are seeking dishes that feature protein across dayparts. This is going to be more prevalent during the breakfast and lunch hours when consumers are most likely to engage in healthier eating patterns.”

As for plant- vs. animal-based proteins, Webster notes that most consumers will continue to eat meat, poultry, seafood, and other animal-derived protein products to some degree, even while many consumers are seeking either to cut back on their animal-based protein consumption or to augment it more with plant-based protein. “I don't see the interest in plant-based protein subsiding at all,” she says, “but rather, continuing to grow at a steady pace going forward.”

Webster adds a caveat, however: “Hyper-processed food product options will continue to face challenges in the next year, largely because consumers are both skeptical about the health claims on such products and are not happy about the lack of transparency of the ingredients or production.”

Webster also predicts a renaissance in whole ingredient options. “Think the original black bean burgers, but updated.” Such items are becoming significantly more interesting to diners now due to the simplicity of the products’ makeup. “Such inherent transparency also addresses the consumer demand for increased sincerity and trust in the foods they’re buying,” she says.

While consumers lean more toward plant-based options that are made with few and recognizable ingredients, more complex processed options aren't going away. “Companies will continue to improve products, as well as their production processes and communication,” Webster asserts. ”Plant-based seafood alternatives especially have a significant opportunity due to consumer concerns regarding seafood sustainability, handling, prep at home, and allergen concerns.”

• The plant-based protein market is currently estimated at USD14.3 billion and projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.5%, reaching USD20.5 billion by 2029. Plant-based protein has seen exponential growth in recent years, fueled by increasing consumer awareness of health, environmental sustainability, and ethical concerns regarding animal agriculture.—MarketsandMarkets, Inc.
• The global soy protein ingredients market size was valued at USD7.7 billion in 2022 and is poised to grow to USD10.8 billion by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 7.0%, with the protein hydrolysates market worth USD4.3 billion by 2028 and the organic soy protein market reaching USD257 million by 2029.—MarketsandMarkets, Inc.
• The global pulse ingredients market size was estimated at USD20.7 billion in 2022 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.6% from 2022 to 2027.—MarketsandMarkets, Inc.
• The potato protein market size could surge to USD381.5 Million by 2031 at a 6.9% CAGR, boosted by advancements in plant protein production.—Transparency Market Research, Inc.
• The wheat protein market size is projected to reach USD3.2 billion by 2028 from USD 2.5 billion by 2023, at a CAGR of 4.9% during the forecast period by 2028.—MarketsandMarkets, Inc.
• The egg processing market is currently estimated at USD33.3 billion and projected to reach USD41.9 billion by 2029.—MarketsandMarkets, Inc.

2025 and Beyond

Webster predicts that the popularity of seafood analogs is likely to expand, while the substitutions focused on more popular animal protein sources—chicken, beef, and pork—will face slower growth until products that better match the full eating experience come along. They also will have to become more transparent in both ingredients and production.

Asked about the future of cell-cultured meats, Webster states, “I think it's inevitable we will eventually see these options on menus and at retail, but I still think that will be a ways off—2026 at the earliest.” Curious consumers will try these options, particularly if they are first offered by restaurants they trust. “The next hurdle," says Webster, "will be whether the products meet expectations, provide a value, and are satisfying enough to become part of regular eating patterns—at a price point that allows it.”

“I think in the coming year we will see more regulatory approvals of novel proteins, especially cell-cultivated varieties, than we have seen to this point,” Webster continues. “Unfortunately, it could be too late for several companies, and we will be observing a Darwinian ‘survival of the fittest’.”

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Looking even further into the future, iCAMP's Block remarks, “The only thing I would say is, all projections suggest that there is going to be a real lack of supply to meet the demand for protein-rich foods over the next 25 years or so. There will continue to be a large demand for conventional meat, poultry, and seafood, but I don’t know that the supply of these protein sources can fill the extra demand projected by 2050.”